Novel Times, Novel Measures

The virtual home of Lawrence S. Grodeska

A Decade In Review, Part I: The Aughts

A few weeks ago I decided it would be an interesting exercise to recount some of the most memorable experiences I’ve had this decade. As the conventional wisdom goes, the best way to look ahead is to take a look back. So, I started a list, which was easy — following through, however, has been more challenging. My intention was to blog about this list, but aside from myself, who really cares about reading a list of my accomplishments? What should even be considered in the list? Good, bad and/or ugly? And how to prevent such an exercise from being so solipsistic as to become meaningless? After all, without considering the backdrop against which a life is lived, how can one gauge anything at all?

Given all of that, and considering that, from time to time, I do actually think about a picture bigger than my portrait, I’ve come to realize that this blog shall be in two parts: a brief review of the past decade, and a partial recount of my personal decade. In reviewing the decade at large, I hope to observe some major trends that have and will likely continue to shape the fabric of society, including the thread that is my life. In doing so, I wish to lay the ground work for a clearer perspective on myself and my times so that I might be best prepared for the next decade to come.

Part I: The Aughts

In thinking about the decade known to some as the “Aughts,” I have wondered why I didn’t write something similar about the decade known as the ’90s. Looking back at my journal from that time doesn’t reveal much. I do remember being caught up in the Y2K craze, wondering if this might not be the end of civilization as we knew it, but then again, I’m kind of susceptible to those “sky is falling” scenarios. As it turns out, though, I’m facing the close of this decade with a fair amount more introspection than the last time around. I suppose that 10 years in a life, especially 10 years in the first half of a life, can significantly alter how one processes the passage of time. And, quite frankly, I think the period of my life between 25 and 35 was a bit more exciting than that between 15 and 25. However, one thing that I am certain of is that I did not have the same platform upon which to process and broadcast in 1999 as we all do today, which brings me to my first observation…

One of the great societal shifts to occur over the last 10 years has been the rapid externalizations of our lives. Technology, and, specifically, the Internet, has transformed how we interact with each other, and even how we see ourselves. It has enabled us, with simple access to a web-connected computer, to broadcast our heartfelt convictions, creative expressions or trifling whims and fancies to an audience of potential millions. In the year 2000, there were no online social networks to speak of — today, through the evolution from Friendster to MySpace to Facebook, one could argue that we have too many. Likewise, since their inception early in the decade, blogging has become everything from hapless fun to a legitimate form of journalism. Video technology now empowers anyone with a few bucks to craft their own story in moving images. And, for better or worse, our virtual inbox has expanded from simple email to include text messages, social network messages, Twitter, all on top of the relics of snail mail and voice mail.

I see this unprecedented access to communications platforms as one of the last great hopes for freedom and democracy, but, ironically, also a great threat to free thought and collective action. Given the corporate control of traditional media outlets such as television, film and radio, outsider or “fringe” culture has never been able to communicate their messages to the degree that is now possible. Further, our newfound digital connections have enabled members of far flung subcultures to find each other and share, create, organize. Consequently, we’ve seen new levels of accountability for our leaders, if not downright revolutions waged with these tools. The downside to this ability to broadcast, beyond creating such menial, if not at times hilarious memes like LOLcats, is that we are witnessing the continued splintering of social groups. Perhaps more disturbing, however, is the self-fulfilling reinforcement of peronsl beliefs due to our new ability to conciously segregate ourselves by filtering information we receive according to our worldviews. With the ability to select our own version of “news” tailored to fit our pre-conceived notions and minimize cognitive dissonance, i.e. displeasure, I fear that we a breeding mental inflexibility that could result in a frightening era of fundamentalism.

The evolution of technology in the Aughts was not restricted to the Internet. This decade might well be considering the decade of mobile. Ephemeralization, the process of doing more with less as observed and coined by Buckminster Fuller, has been hard at work and well in hand over the past 10 years. What began the decade as a pleasant convenience that served a simple function — making and recieving phone calls without being tied to a landline — has metamorphosed into the handheld communicator envisioned by Gene Roddenberry in Star Trek three decades prior. Now, the ability to capture a moment, in sound, image or video, lies at the tips of our fingers, and the concomitant privacy issues have changed human relations forever. From the mainstreaming of pornography to the accountability of the political class, I still don’t think we’ve come to understand how differently our lives will be in mobile age, to speak nothing about how geo-location will play out in the coming decade.

These are some of the bigger trends that I’ve seen impacting humanity as we know it. Of course, so much more transpired in the Aughts. At the start of the decade, and now at the end, terror came home to America and America went back to war, as if we ever really left it behind. The next great environmental threat of climate change was handed to the next unsuspecting generation to confront, which kick-started a new movement for sustainability, along with new levels of apathy and ecological detachment. Our political system continued its long, slow merger with the private sector, much to the chagrin of independent political observers, and much to the detriment of everyone but the nation’s wealthiest. That same private sector presided over the further destabilization of the global economy thanks to trading in utterly abstract and absolutely worthless financial products. In the same decade, America elected to the office of President the first black man as well as what may have been the most average man ever to hold the office. Many icons passed on — Michael Jackson, George Harrison, Ted Kennedy, Terence McKenna, to name a few. And unfortunately, reality TV made it that much easier for no-talents to replace these luminaries in the pantheon of public consciousness.

And so on. I could continue, but I need to stop somewhere, as does this decade. Up next, Part II: LSG in the Aughts

Filed under: At Home, Technology, The Future

Hope, and Responsibility

The blogosphere is buzzing, I’m sure. The 44th President of the United States was just sworn in. I haven’t blogged since he was elected nearly two months ago, so this seems like a fine time to post again, amidst the buzz.

I watched the inauguration ceremony from a treadmill, sound muted, eschewing the celebration at Civic Center. As my friend suggested, I guess I’m over it. But I watched and nearly shed a tear and here’s what I think. Obama used the phrase “new age” at least twice. Of course, this can be interpreted in myriad ways depending on the frame of the listener. Two interpretations occurred to me. First is a new age of energy. I suppose that all of the plans on the table can be considered part of a new age, but a “green grid” seems like the most revolutionary idea brought to the table so far. Second, a new age of personal responsibility. This was stressed heavily in Obama’s speech. I’ve felt this way for years. The idea of some outside hand cleaning up our mess, providing for us, coddling us, this idea has gotten us into quite a mess, in my opinion. I recognize the necessary function of government for certain services — market regulation, critical infrastructure, etc. — but we all have to participate. For, if not, can we really call our country a democracy?

And so ends the build up and such begins the hard work. I, for one, am still not sold that President Obama and crew are thinking big and bold enough. But I would be remiss not to feel just a little more secure with O at the helm. Chart a course and all ahead, full steam. Now or never, it seems.

ADDENDUM:

A few thoughts the day after.  In particular, a few other important ways to interpret the “new age” Obama referred to in his speesh yesterday.  Most obvious, and one I did not touch upon, was the new age of race relations we are entering.  Despite an inordinate amount of bias that remains, having a president who is an African American will forever change how blacks and whites see each other, and for the better.  Another very important aspect of this new age is the long overdue exit of the Cheney-Rumsfeld-Bush(42) axis that has been calling the shots in Washington’s inner circles for nearly 5 decades.  It is unlikely that any of these evil geezers will take another place of such prominence in a Whitehouse Administration and this is a VERY good thing.  Good riddance.

Finally, a subtle but monumental choice of words by President Obama:

We are a nation of Christians and Muslims, Jews and Hindus – and non-believers.

The emphasis is mine.  In his delivery, that phrase almost seems an afterthought, but it may well be one of the most radical aspects of Obama’s inaugural address.  With those three words, Obama recognized one of the largest “religious” group in the United States: Atheists and Agnostics.  And it seems only fitting since those pesky forefathers kept rattling on about the separation of Church and State or something.  If religion has to be dragged into political pomp, then at least we non-believers deserve a shout-out with the rest of ‘em.  Hallelujah.

Filed under: Politics, The Future

Apocalypse Approaching?

Another post in the Novel News, this time about a subject near and dear to my heart — the apocalypse! I’ve long been fascinated with the apocalypse, which the Heritage Dictionary defines, in addition to the various biblical references, as either:

2. Great or total devastation; doom: the apocalypse of nuclear war.
3. A prophetic disclosure; a revelation.

I’ve thought long and hard about both options. When considering the magnitude of looming ecological crises that face humanity of the 21st century, definition #2 does not seem so far fetched. However, it is the third definition that is most intriguing. I’ve been reading (yet another) book that deals with this interpretation of apocalypse: 2012: The Return of Quetzlcoatl. Author Daniel Pinchbeck places particular emphasis on the Mayan prophecy of the end of the fourth cycle of humanity and beginning of the fifth slated to occur when the cosmological clock strikes December 21, 2012. I’ll spare you the details — after all, who could actually know when or how the apocalypse might occur? — except to say that 2012 focuses on the third definition of apocalypse under the guise of radical transformation and offers some interesting global examples that point to just such a transformation already underway.

With so much gloom and doom in the forecast, such a perspective offers some much needed hope. But the gloom cannot be avoided; in fact such doom might be a necessary catalyst for the type of societal transformation necessary to meet and address the worsening conditions on planet Earth. And so, to keep us all on our toes, with eyes open and synapses firing, I offer these tidbits from the week’s news:

Norway to house seeds in doomsday vault

(06-18) 18:42 PDT OSLO, Norway (AP) — It sounds like something from a science fiction film — a doomsday vault carved into a frozen mountainside on a secluded Arctic island ready to serve as a Noah’s Ark for seeds in case of a global catastrophe.

But Norway’s ambitious project is on its way to becoming reality Monday when construction begins on the Svalbard Global Seed Vault, designed to house as many as 3 million of the world’s crop seeds.

….

Its purpose is to ensure the survival of crop diversity in the event of plant epidemics, nuclear war, natural disasters or climate change, and to offer the world a chance to restart growth of food crops that may have been wiped out.

[LSG comment] It’s about time someone in government starting thinking about preserving the genetic diversity of our agricultural stock, catastrophy or no. It’s a no brainer…this is our food we’re talking about here! Of course, Norway is doing it in grand fashion.


Hawking Says Humans Must Go Into Space

(06-13) 04:50 PDT HONG KONG, China (AP) –

The survival of the human race depends on its ability to find new homes elsewhere in the universe because there’s an increasing risk that a disaster will destroy the Earth, world-renowned scientist Stephen Hawking said Tuesday.

He added that if humans can avoid killing themselves in the next 100 years, they should have space settlements that can continue without support from Earth.

“It is important for the human race to spread out into space for the survival of the species,” Hawking said. “Life on Earth is at the ever-increasing risk of being wiped out by a disaster, such as sudden global warming, nuclear war, a genetically engineered virus or other dangers we have not yet thought of.”

[LSG comment] I love his caveat: “If humans can avoid killing themselves in the next 100 years.” Never knew my man Hawkings was so optimistic. All kidding aside, chalk up another dire prediction about the bleak prospects for the near term survival of humanity to a growing list of preeminent scientists espousing the same. Ugh.

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Filed under: Novel News, The Future

“A morbid fever that may last…100,000 years”

Okay, I’m officially shaken up. I’ve been a gloom and doomer for some time now, probably about a decade. I keep crying that until we (society) begin to tangibly experience the repercussions of our actions, of our consumerism, that nothing will change. How often have I said that many will perish before the necessary lessons are learned and behaviors changed? Not often enough, apparently. Upon reading the latest public statement by preeminent atmospheric scientist James Lovelock in yesterday’s London Independent Online, even I am in complete shock. The title of the piece, “The Earth is about to catch a morbid fever that may last as long as 100,000 years”, does justice to my reaction upon reading it.

For those not in the know, Sir James Lovelock is the originator of the Gaia Hypothesis which asserts that the Earth is one large, interconnected and self-regulating system. This means that the Earth has a range of biochemical processes that help to maintain a climate suitable to the proliferation and continuation of life. When I first read Lovelock’s work over a decade ago, I was thrilled to the core; his radical, yet solid, scientific propositions fully resonated with my personal intuitions of an animate, intelligent and unified Earth system. While even Lovelock’s writing can at times appear to blur the line between Science and Spirituality, I can assure that the thoery is firmly rooted in rigorous global atmospheric biochemistry. Unfortunately, in the end, the complex collection of feedback loops that Lovelock envisioned may turn out to work against civilzation.

Now for the real doom and gloom. I’m chilled not only by the content of these predictions, but also by the observation that this might well be the first time in the era of modern scientific thought that a scientist of Lovelock’s international stature has made such bold claims. Apparently, given the conclusions of his research, he felt no other option but to “go out on limb”. He starts with a clear and regret-filled warning:

I have to tell you, as members of the Earth’s family and an intimate part of it, that you and especially civilisation are in grave danger.

He firmly believes that we have reached “a point of no return,” that the same processes which have regulated climate until now have been so perturbed as to be irreversibly heading towards drastic climatic changes, with devastating consequences.

We are in a fool’s climate, accidentally kept cool by smoke, and before this century is over billions of us will die and the few breeding pairs of people that survive will be in the Arctic where the climate remains tolerable.

And the final, no-holds-barred, pull-no-punches conclusion:

So what should we do? First, we have to keep in mind the awesome pace of change and realise how little time is left to act; and then each community and nation must find the best use of the resources they have to sustain civilisation for as long as they can.

Towards the end, Lovelock displays his compassion and love for humanity, despite our environmental follies.

We are not merely a disease; we are, through our intelligence and communication, the nervous system of the planet. Through us, Gaia has seen herself from space, and begins to know her place in the universe.

This is, at the risk of overt anthropomorphism, perhaps the saddest outcome of such a scenario. Life, in some diminished capacity, will continue on planet Earth, despite catastrophic climatic change. It is distinctly possible, however, that the resplendent beauty of the biological diaspora here on Earth will be decimated. Atop the pyramid of Life sits Homo Sapiens Sapiens, the pinnacle of evolution in our cosmological locale, replete with sentience and self-relfection, capable of receiving the beauty of Life’s diversity and giving it back through creative expression, through art and language and science, through love. An ecological collapse of that pyramid at the hands of rising global temperatures would insure the loss of such complexity, of the novelty that is the human neocortex and its’ concomitant civilization.

When a scientist on the par of James Lovelock, a man whom I happen to respect inordinately, begins to speak of the end of civilization, the time is nigh to sit up and take notice. I can’t say much more right now, I am still reeling from encountering such a desperate proclamation just a few short hours ago. The only thing I can think to do at the moment is to talk about this with those that I care about, those whom opinions I trust and respect. More words will follow and the dialogue will continue. In the meantime, please educate yourselves. Civilization may well depend on it.

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Filed under: Nature, The Future

Email…from the future!

In my ongoing, albeit intermittent, efforts to broadcast the future, let me present FutureMe.org. Some brainiac out there had the twisted idea of burying digital time capsules in the form of email. From this plain-jane site you can enter a message that will be sent to yourself at a specified time in the future. I suppose you could send an email from the future to someone else, although I can’t quite figure out how that application of this “technology” would be necessary. Unless you wanted to screw with someone and send them an email from buddha@allah.god or something. And how is this different from hiding notes from yourself around the house? Forget about time capsules. I’m just going to start using FutureMe.org as my “message from G*d” software. [click] There, I just sent myself next week’s grocery list. Thanks, G*d, now I can rest easy…

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Filed under: The Future

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